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Qual 422018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red246
5427147.7
5417127.7
1255135.0
Blue423
3481163.6
624231.0
3676136.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245437100200300400500600700246423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#13
147.70.6
146.5→147.0
Auto18.8
Teleop111.2
End18.3
blue by 83.2
624
#2
231.00.8
229.1→230.0
Auto25.9
Teleop162.8
End42.7
Second
1255
#11
135.00.1
135.5→135.5
Auto15.0
Teleop107.6
End13.6
blue by 28.5
3481
#7
163.60.3
164.7→164.4
Auto21.2
Teleop120.0
End20.6
Third
5417
#20
127.70.1
126.9→127.0
Auto16.5
Teleop98.5
End17.3
blue by 9.2
3676
#19
136.90.2
136.5→136.7
Auto18.9
Teleop92.0
End26.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed65%Face the Boss oddsEarned