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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red201
1477161.5
3481163.6
5892137.1
Blue347
6800167.3
1296173.7
418145.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284360100200400500201347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#7
163.60.4
164.0→163.6
Auto21.2
Teleop120.0
End20.6
blue by 10.1
1296
#8
173.70.3
172.9→173.2
Auto20.6
Teleop136.1
End15.7
Second
1477
#14
161.50.2
161.7→161.5
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
blue by 5.8
6800
#15
167.30.2
166.9→167.1
Auto22.1
Teleop134.5
End10.7
Third
5892
#28
137.10.5
137.7→137.1
Auto16.7
Teleop106.0
End15.5
blue by 8.0
418
#29
145.10.0
145.2→145.2
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6