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Semifinal 2-12018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red403
4587187.9
624231.0
5726120.4
Blue447
3005195.3
148228.6
4639143.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316424200500600700403447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
231.00.0
230.9→230.9
Auto25.9
Teleop162.8
End42.7
red by 2.4
148
#4
228.60.4
227.5→227.9
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
Second
4587
#6
187.90.0
187.7→187.8
Auto21.5
Teleop139.7
End25.7
blue by 7.4
3005
#5
195.30.5
193.7→194.2
Auto23.9
Teleop148.9
End20.5
Third
5726
#30
120.40.0
120.3→120.3
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
blue by 23.4
4639
#21
143.80.1
144.8→144.7
Auto20.2
Teleop95.8
End25.0