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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red144
1477161.5
3481163.6
5892137.1
Blue463
6800167.3
1296173.7
418145.1
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296348100200400500144463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#7
163.60.3
164.3→164.0
Auto21.2
Teleop120.0
End20.6
blue by 10.1
1296
#8
173.70.2
172.7→172.9
Auto20.6
Teleop136.1
End15.7
Second
1477
#14
161.50.0
161.7→161.7
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
blue by 5.8
6800
#15
167.30.0
166.9→166.9
Auto22.1
Teleop134.5
End10.7
Third
5892
#28
137.10.4
138.1→137.7
Auto16.7
Teleop106.0
End15.5
blue by 8.0
418
#29
145.10.2
145.4→145.2
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6