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Semifinal 1-22018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red356
3310226.7
118228.6
5427147.7
Blue234
6800167.3
1296173.7
418145.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4612450100200300400500600700356234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
228.60.1
228.9→228.8
Auto24.0
Teleop166.7
End37.1
red by 54.9
1296
#8
173.70.2
173.4→173.7
Auto20.6
Teleop136.1
End15.7
Second
3310
#3
226.70.0
226.7→226.7
Auto24.7
Teleop173.6
End26.7
red by 59.3
6800
#15
167.30.1
167.2→167.3
Auto22.1
Teleop134.5
End10.7
Third
5427
#13
147.70.0
148.0→147.9
Auto18.8
Teleop111.2
End18.3
red by 2.6
418
#29
145.10.1
145.2→145.1
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6