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Red439
6800167.3
1477161.5
6111119.3
Blue131
418145.1
6357129.9
4219124.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352264100200300400500600700439131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#15
167.30.7
163.2164.0
Auto22.1
Teleop134.5
End10.7
red by 22.2
418
#29
145.10.5
152.8153.3
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6
Second
1477
#14
161.50.2
166.3166.5
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
red by 31.6
6357
#25
129.91.7
124.6126.3
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End9.8
Third
6111
#24
119.30.2
122.5122.3
Auto16.9
Teleop93.1
End11.6
blue by 4.9
4219
#18
124.20.9
129.3128.5
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed