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Qual 22018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red292
4587187.9
7303118.6
4717111.1
Blue244
624231.0
5417127.7
5892137.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553910100200300500600292244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#6
187.90.8
181.1→180.3
Auto21.5
Teleop139.7
End25.7
blue by 43.1
624
#2
231.00.7
230.5→229.8
Auto25.9
Teleop162.8
End42.7
Second
7303
#23
118.60.2
112.4→112.6
Auto19.8
Teleop87.8
End11.1
blue by 18.5
5892
#28
137.10.2
138.8→138.6
Auto16.7
Teleop106.0
End15.5
Third
4717
#31
111.10.9
104.3→105.2
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End11.2
blue by 16.6
5417
#20
127.70.8
132.6→131.8
Auto16.5
Teleop98.5
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned53%Face the Boss oddsMissed