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Red221
5726120.4
3310226.7
5908120.2
Blue446
148228.6
2468164.1
1296173.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2434130100200300500600221446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226.70.3
216.6216.9
Auto24.7
Teleop173.6
End26.7
blue by 1.9
148
#4
228.61.3
226.5225.1
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
Second
5726
#30
120.40.0
117.1117.1
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
blue by 53.3
173.70.1
163.5163.4
Auto20.6
Teleop136.1
End15.7
Third
5908
#22
120.20.2
119.0118.8
Auto17.5
Teleop88.0
End13.1
blue by 43.9
2468
#17
164.10.8
167.6166.8
Auto21.2
Teleop124.8
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed38%Face the Boss oddsEarned