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Red263
3676136.9
4063159.3
3355135.9
Blue285
5414150.4
4610122.5
3481163.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316324200250300350400450263285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#26
159.30.6
156.4157.1
Auto22.7
Teleop122.5
End11.3
blue by 4.3
163.60.5
170.5170.0
Auto21.2
Teleop120.0
End20.6
Second
3676
#19
136.92.2
126.5128.6
Auto18.9
Teleop92.0
End26.8
blue by 13.6
5414
#12
150.40.5
149.9149.4
Auto22.2
Teleop119.4
End8.6
Third
135.91.9
124.2126.1
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
red by 13.4
4610
#10
122.50.5
121.1121.6
Auto17.5
Teleop91.9
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed