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Red272
4717111.1
3355135.9
5726120.4
Blue228
3676136.9
5908120.2
7303118.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264291100200400500272228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.90.4
127.1127.5
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
blue by 1.0
3676
#19
136.91.6
130.1131.7
Auto18.9
Teleop92.0
End26.8
Second
5726
#30
120.40.3
117.1116.9
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
red by 0.2
5908
#22
120.20.5
118.8118.3
Auto17.5
Teleop88.0
End13.1
Third
4717
#31
111.11.4
105.2106.6
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End11.2
blue by 7.5
7303
#23
118.60.9
112.6113.5
Auto19.8
Teleop87.8
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed