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Qual 122018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red451
5892137.1
1296173.7
3310226.7
Blue101
418145.1
1477161.5
3005195.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3533180200400600800451101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#3
226.70.7
216.8→217.4
Auto24.7
Teleop173.6
End26.7
red by 31.4
3005
#5
195.30.7
195.9→195.2
Auto23.9
Teleop148.9
End20.5
Second
1296
#8
173.70.9
164.0→164.8
Auto20.6
Teleop136.1
End15.7
red by 12.1
1477
#14
161.50.6
167.7→168.4
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
Third
5892
#28
137.11.2
137.5→136.3
Auto16.7
Teleop106.0
End15.5
blue by 8.0
418
#29
145.11.3
152.4→151.2
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed