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Qual 172018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red439
3355135.9
4587187.9
148228.6
Blue126
1477161.5
4639143.8
1255135.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392249100200300500600700439126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#4
228.60.1
224.3→224.2
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
red by 67.1
1477
#14
161.51.1
168.4→167.3
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
Second
4587
#6
187.90.4
180.9→181.3
Auto21.5
Teleop139.7
End25.7
red by 44.1
4639
#21
143.80.2
148.6→148.4
Auto20.2
Teleop95.8
End25.0
Third
3355
#9
135.90.8
127.5→128.3
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
red by 0.9
1255
#11
135.00.6
135.5→136.1
Auto15.0
Teleop107.6
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
68%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed