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Qual 182018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red401
4063159.3
5892137.1
6357129.9
Blue278
5726120.4
5414150.4
5427147.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327282100200400500600401278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#26
159.30.3
157.4→157.7
Auto22.7
Teleop122.5
End11.3
red by 8.8
5414
#12
150.40.3
148.7→148.5
Auto22.2
Teleop119.4
End8.6
Second
5892
#28
137.10.1
136.3→136.3
Auto16.7
Teleop106.0
End15.5
blue by 10.6
5427
#13
147.70.1
144.1→144.2
Auto18.8
Teleop111.2
End18.3
Third
6357
#25
129.90.1
126.9→127.0
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End9.8
red by 9.6
5726
#30
120.40.1
117.1→117.2
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed