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Qual 212018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red280
4610122.5
118228.6
7303118.6
Blue395
3005195.3
3310226.7
3676136.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258419100200300500600700800280395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
228.60.0
227.6→227.5
Auto24.0
Teleop166.7
End37.1
red by 1.9
3310
#3
226.71.5
217.4→218.9
Auto24.7
Teleop173.6
End26.7
Second
4610
#10
122.50.7
122.8→122.2
Auto17.5
Teleop91.9
End10.2
blue by 72.8
3005
#5
195.32.2
195.2→192.9
Auto23.9
Teleop148.9
End20.5
Third
7303
#23
118.60.9
114.4→115.3
Auto19.8
Teleop87.8
End11.1
blue by 18.3
3676
#19
136.91.5
131.7→133.2
Auto18.9
Teleop92.0
End26.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
60%Face the Boss oddsMissed38%Face the Boss oddsMissed