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Red237
7312100.8
148228.6
1817141.9
Blue241
4639143.8
6111119.3
4063159.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331264100200300400500237241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#4
228.60.7
224.2224.9
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
red by 69.3
4063
#26
159.31.1
157.7158.9
Auto22.7
Teleop122.5
End11.3
Second
1817
#16DQ
141.91.3
144.9143.6
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
blue by 1.9
4639
#21
143.81.5
148.4146.9
Auto20.2
Teleop95.8
End25.0
Third
7312
#27
100.80.2
103.8103.9
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End5.9
blue by 18.5
6111
#24
119.31.0
123.4122.4
Auto16.9
Teleop93.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed