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Red301
4587187.9
5427147.7
7312100.8
Blue364
118228.6
5908120.2
4219124.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3023300100200400500600700800301364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.91.1
181.3182.4
Auto21.5
Teleop139.7
End25.7
blue by 40.7
118
#1
228.60.2
227.5227.3
Auto24.0
Teleop166.7
End37.1
Second
5427
#13
147.70.4
144.2144.6
Auto18.8
Teleop111.2
End18.3
red by 23.5
4219
#18
124.20.9
123.6122.7
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
Third
7312
#27
100.80.2
103.9103.7
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End5.9
blue by 19.4
5908
#22
120.20.4
117.8118.2
Auto17.5
Teleop88.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned47%Face the Boss oddsMissed