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Red271
6800167.3
5726120.4
4063159.3
Blue424
5417127.7
3005195.3
4587187.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923850100200500600700271424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#15
167.30.4
167.2166.9
Auto22.1
Teleop134.5
End10.7
blue by 27.9
195.32.0
192.9191.0
Auto23.9
Teleop148.9
End20.5
Second
4063
#26
159.30.7
158.9159.6
Auto22.7
Teleop122.5
End11.3
blue by 28.6
187.91.2
182.4183.6
Auto21.5
Teleop139.7
End25.7
Third
5726
#30
120.40.5
117.2117.6
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
blue by 7.3
5417
#20
127.70.8
127.4126.6
Auto16.5
Teleop98.5
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsEarned