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Qual 282018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red395
118228.6
1296173.7
3481163.6
Blue304
7303118.6
148228.6
6357129.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426267100200300500600700395304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
228.60.3
227.3→227.6
Auto24.0
Teleop166.7
End37.1
Level
148
#4
228.60.1
224.9→225.0
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
Second
1296
#8
173.71.8
168.6→170.3
Auto20.6
Teleop136.1
End15.7
red by 43.7
6357
#25
129.91.4
127.9→129.3
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End9.8
Third
3481
#7
163.60.7
166.2→165.4
Auto21.2
Teleop120.0
End20.6
red by 44.9
7303
#23
118.60.7
115.6→116.3
Auto19.8
Teleop87.8
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
45%Face the Boss oddsEarned52%Face the Boss oddsMissed