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Red78
4717111.1
7312100.8
418145.1
Blue308
1817141.9
5726120.4
4610122.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314244010020040050060070078308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#29
145.10.2
147.3147.1
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6
red by 3.3
1817
#16
141.91.4
143.6142.3
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
Second
4717
#31
111.10.9
111.5112.4
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End11.2
blue by 11.4
4610
#10
122.50.7
121.4120.7
Auto17.5
Teleop91.9
End10.2
Third
7312
#27
100.80.2
103.7104.0
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End5.9
blue by 19.6
5726
#30
120.40.3
117.6117.9
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed