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Red339
7303118.6
624231.0
6111119.3
Blue249
2468164.1
1477161.5
4063159.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322344100200300400500339249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
231.00.5
228.6229.1
Auto25.9
Teleop162.8
End42.7
red by 66.9
2468
#17
164.10.3
164.7164.4
Auto21.2
Teleop124.8
End18.5
Second
6111
#24
119.30.7
121.0120.3
Auto16.9
Teleop93.1
End11.6
blue by 42.3
1477
#14
161.50.6
164.0163.4
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
Third
7303
#23
118.60.5
116.3116.8
Auto19.8
Teleop87.8
End11.1
blue by 40.7
4063
#26
159.30.5
159.6160.1
Auto22.7
Teleop122.5
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
50%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed