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Red509
148228.6
418145.1
118228.6
Blue227
5417127.7
3355135.9
6800167.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4612030100300400500600509227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#4
228.60.2
225.0225.2
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
red by 61.3
6800
#15
167.30.4
166.5166.8
Auto22.1
Teleop134.5
End10.7
Second
118
#1
228.60.1
227.6227.7
Auto24.0
Teleop166.7
End37.1
red by 92.7
135.91.3
131.1132.3
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
Third
418
#29
145.11.3
147.1145.7
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6
red by 17.5
5417
#20
127.70.3
126.7126.9
Auto16.5
Teleop98.5
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
91%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed