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Red310
4587187.9
3676136.9
5414150.4
Blue257
6357129.9
7312100.8
1296173.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374259100200300500600310257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.91.6
183.6185.2
Auto21.5
Teleop139.7
End25.7
red by 14.2
173.71.3
170.3171.6
Auto20.6
Teleop136.1
End15.7
Second
5414
#12
150.40.7
149.1149.8
Auto22.2
Teleop119.4
End8.6
red by 20.5
6357
#25
129.91.1
129.3130.4
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End9.8
Third
3676
#19
136.90.8
135.6136.5
Auto18.9
Teleop92.0
End26.8
red by 36.1
7312
#27
100.80.9
104.0103.1
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed