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Red245
2341148.5
5930134.5
3366119.4
Blue357
4192150.2
7120124.2
1296166.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26835302004006008001,000245357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#15
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End21.4
blue by 18.1
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Second
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
blue by 15.7
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Third
3366
#14
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
blue by 4.8
7120
#12
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto14.4
Teleop101.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest odds68%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds