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Red186
4206140.3
5417124.2
3355135.9
Blue328
1296166.6
3366119.4
5431168.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27935902006008001,000186328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#11
140.30.0
140.3140.3
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End16.6
blue by 28.4
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
135.90.0
135.9135.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
blue by 30.7
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Third
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
red by 4.8
3366
#14
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest odds84%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds