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Red59
636999.2
4219124.2
4206140.3
Blue197
6171122.7
4192150.2
5930134.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26334902004006008001,00059197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#11
140.30.0
140.3140.3
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End16.6
blue by 9.9
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Second
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
blue by 10.3
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Third
99.20.0
99.299.2
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
blue by 23.5
122.70.0
122.7122.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest odds48%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds