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Red234
1745136.8
5726120.4
2341148.5
Blue411
5431168.7
5417124.2
7120124.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29135902006008001,000234411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#15
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End21.4
blue by 20.2
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
1745
#13
136.80.0
136.8136.8
Auto21.4
Teleop99.8
End11.4
red by 12.6
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
Third
5726
#10
120.40.0
120.4120.4
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
blue by 3.8
7120
#12
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto14.4
Teleop101.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest odds84%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds10%Face the Boss odds