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Red258
4206140.3
1296166.6
5726120.4
Blue96
5930134.5
1745136.8
4219124.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326304020040060080025896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
red by 29.8
1745
#13
136.80.0
136.8136.8
Auto21.4
Teleop99.8
End11.4
Second
4206
#11
140.30.0
140.3140.3
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End16.6
red by 5.8
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Third
5726
#10
120.40.0
120.4120.4
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
blue by 3.8
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest odds65%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds