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Red238
6171122.7
5431168.7
3355135.9
Blue218
4219124.2
2341148.5
7120124.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3602880100200400500600700800238218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
red by 20.2
2341
#15
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End21.4
Second
135.90.0
135.9135.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
red by 11.7
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
Third
122.70.0
122.7122.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
blue by 1.5
7120
#12
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto14.4
Teleop101.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest odds48%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds