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Red90
5726120.4
4192150.2
3366119.4
Blue142
5930134.5
1296166.6
5417124.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26236902006008001,00090142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
blue by 16.4
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Second
5726
#10
120.40.0
120.4120.4
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
blue by 14.1
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Third
3366
#14
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
blue by 4.8
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest odds84%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds