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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Utah Regional
Red298
2468164.6
4550148.5
3245128.7
Blue398
4944160.6
115147.8
1891127.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331355100200300400500600298398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#6
164.60.0
164.7→164.7
Auto21.6
Teleop118.1
End22.4
red by 4.0
4944
#11
160.61.4
155.8→157.1
Auto15.5
Teleop124.1
End23.4
Second
4550
#5
148.50.7
147.2→147.9
Auto17.5
Teleop108.6
End25.2
red by 0.7
115
#7
147.81.1
143.9→145.0
Auto18.6
Teleop116.2
End14.4
Third
3245
#20
128.70.2
128.4→128.6
Auto19.7
Teleop96.0
End11.7
red by 1.5
1891
#24
127.20.1
126.7→126.8
Auto14.8
Teleop91.5
End22.0