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Semifinal 1-22018 Utah Regional
Red499
399158.9
1678206.4
1410120.9
Blue171
4944160.6
115147.8
1891127.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407307100200500600700499171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#1
206.41.4
202.3→203.7
Auto28.1
Teleop140.1
End39.9
red by 45.8
4944
#11
160.61.0
159.5→160.6
Auto15.5
Teleop124.1
End23.4
Second
399
#16
158.91.5
154.7→156.2
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
red by 11.1
115
#7
147.80.9
147.0→147.8
Auto18.6
Teleop116.2
End14.4
Third
1410
#42
120.90.3
120.0→120.3
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End10.5
blue by 6.3
1891
#24
127.20.1
127.1→127.2
Auto14.8
Teleop91.5
End22.0