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Qual 12018 Utah Regional
Red166
2972119.1
115147.8
399158.9
Blue385
662132.1
1339175.1
4585118.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3072820100200400500600700800166385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#16
158.912.7
104.8→117.5
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
blue by 16.1
1339
#2
175.113.6
96.4→110.0
Auto25.2
Teleop126.1
End24.3
Second
115
#7
147.814.3
90.1→104.4
Auto18.6
Teleop116.2
End14.4
red by 15.7
662
#21
132.114.7
86.1→100.8
Auto17.2
Teleop103.5
End11.7
Third
2972
#15
119.116.2
73.1→89.2
Auto16.6
Teleop99.0
End2.6
red by 0.7
4585
#35
118.416.9
66.7→83.6
Auto16.4
Teleop92.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed