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Qual 22018 Utah Regional
Red182
4550148.5
3245128.7
2993115.4
Blue272
7151112.1
1891127.2
6358132.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142540100200400500600700800182272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#5
148.515.0
83.9→98.9
Auto17.5
Teleop108.6
End25.2
red by 16.0
6358
#32
132.515.2
81.8→97.0
Auto15.5
Teleop97.7
End19.8
Second
3245
#20
128.713.4
98.5→111.9
Auto19.7
Teleop96.0
End11.7
red by 1.5
1891
#24
127.216.3
71.9→88.2
Auto14.8
Teleop91.5
End22.0
Third
2993
#44
115.415.9
75.9→91.7
Auto16.9
Teleop89.2
End6.7
red by 3.4
7151
#38
112.134.3
112.1→77.7
Auto15.5
Teleop83.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed