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Qual 102018 Utah Regional
Red226
1452111.4
1891127.2
115147.8
Blue371
670155.4
5071120.9
3239134.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602790100200400500600226371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#7
147.86.0
104.4→110.4
Auto18.6
Teleop116.2
End14.4
blue by 7.5
670
#4
155.47.9
95.9→103.8
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End17.6
Second
1891
#24
127.211.6
88.2→99.8
Auto14.8
Teleop91.5
End22.0
blue by 7.7
3239
#13
134.910.5
95.3→105.7
Auto19.5
Teleop107.6
End10.3
Third
1452
#34
111.48.4
81.4→89.8
Auto15.2
Teleop86.9
End12.6
blue by 9.5
5071
#28
120.912.8
76.5→89.3
Auto15.3
Teleop94.4
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed