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Qual 92018 Utah Regional
Red266
3225111.9
4944160.6
2484115.4
Blue100
1410120.9
3006113.9
7151112.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255292100200400500266100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#11
160.615.4
80.2→95.6
Auto15.5
Teleop124.1
End23.4
red by 39.6
1410
#42
120.914.5
88.3→102.8
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End10.5
Second
2484
#29
115.48.9
81.7→90.6
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End2.9
red by 1.5
3006
#48
113.915.4
79.6→95.1
Auto18.3
Teleop89.3
End2.0
Third
3225
#49
111.916.4
71.4→87.7
Auto14.0
Teleop80.9
End16.8
blue by 0.1
7151
#38
112.112.4
77.7→90.2
Auto15.5
Teleop83.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed