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Qual 122018 Utah Regional
Red196
6844107.8
5871114.0
3245128.7
Blue294
4585118.4
6400120.0
3289126.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268280100200400500196294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#20
128.77.5
111.9→119.5
Auto19.7
Teleop96.0
End11.7
red by 2.4
3289
#27
126.311.3
94.9→106.2
Auto16.1
Teleop95.5
End12.3
Second
5871
#41
114.08.3
88.5→96.8
Auto16.0
Teleop87.1
End11.9
blue by 6.0
6400
#17
120.012.5
80.0→92.5
Auto15.7
Teleop86.8
End17.8
Third
6844
#40
107.811.4
77.7→89.1
Auto13.4
Teleop85.1
End9.9
blue by 10.6
4585
#35
118.414.2
83.6→97.8
Auto16.4
Teleop92.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed