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Qual 132018 Utah Regional
Red225
399158.9
2594121.5
3225111.9
Blue366
1678206.4
5461121.7
3729109.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693270100200400500600225366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#16
158.95.0
117.5→122.5
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
blue by 47.4
1678
#1
206.48.6
150.1→158.7
Auto28.1
Teleop140.1
End39.9
Second
2594
#22
121.510.7
92.1→102.8
Auto14.7
Teleop95.6
End13.4
blue by 0.2
5461
#18
121.713.3
86.8→100.1
Auto16.1
Teleop92.9
End14.5
Third
3225
#49
111.913.5
87.7→101.2
Auto14.0
Teleop80.9
End16.8
red by 2.3
3729
#51
109.76.3
91.5→97.8
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed