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Qual 142018 Utah Regional
Red325
3230164.9
192150.4
1410120.9
Blue72
3243107.7
645798.2
3200110.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339230010030040050060070032572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#3
164.910.9
117.9→128.8
Auto20.6
Teleop119.9
End21.2
red by 54.8
3200
#14
110.16.7
96.7→103.5
Auto17.6
Teleop87.4
End6.9
Second
192
#10
150.49.5
113.4→122.9
Auto18.1
Teleop116.9
End16.5
red by 42.6
3243
#39
107.713.6
84.0→97.6
Auto14.7
Teleop79.2
End11.7
Third
1410
#42
120.96.1
102.8→108.9
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End10.5
red by 22.7
6457
#37
98.29.4
77.5→86.9
Auto14.1
Teleop77.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed