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Qual 152018 Utah Regional
Red252
6411146.4
2468164.6
5974100.9
Blue140
5933131.0
3405120.3
4598108.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30326302004006008001,000252140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#6
164.610.9
117.4→128.4
Auto21.6
Teleop118.1
End22.4
red by 33.6
5933
#19
131.011.1
96.8→107.9
Auto20.1
Teleop99.9
End13.8
Second
6411
#12
146.411.0
98.0→109.0
Auto15.5
Teleop113.6
End20.5
red by 26.1
3405
#23
120.311.9
83.7→95.6
Auto15.3
Teleop96.0
End9.7
Third
5974
#36
100.97.2
81.3→88.5
Auto13.6
Teleop80.3
End4.9
blue by 7.2
4598
#31
108.211.0
88.8→99.8
Auto16.4
Teleop88.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed