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Qual 182018 Utah Regional
Red278
257695.4
3239134.9
1410120.9
Blue187
841107.0
3729109.7
2972119.1
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2842410100200400500600700278187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3239
#13
134.98.0
105.7→113.8
Auto19.5
Teleop107.6
End10.3
red by 15.8
2972
#15
119.17.0
96.5→103.5
Auto16.6
Teleop99.0
End2.6
Second
1410
#42
120.93.9
108.9→112.8
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End10.5
red by 11.3
3729
#51
109.75.2
97.8→103.0
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End8.8
Third
2576
#30
95.46.1
93.4→99.5
Auto15.1
Teleop77.1
End2.5
blue by 11.6
841
#52
107.07.7
89.4→97.1
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed