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Qual 192018 Utah Regional
Red367
3230164.9
5461121.7
645798.2
Blue161
6411146.4
6844107.8
6546113.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270272150200250300350400450367161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#3
164.97.2
128.8→135.9
Auto20.6
Teleop119.9
End21.2
red by 18.5
6411
#12
146.48.3
109.0→117.3
Auto15.5
Teleop113.6
End20.5
Second
5461
#18
121.79.9
100.1→110.0
Auto16.1
Teleop92.9
End14.5
red by 8.6
6546
#43
113.13.4
117.5→120.9
Auto17.4
Teleop86.6
End9.6
Third
6457
#37
98.23.5
86.9→90.4
Auto14.1
Teleop77.9
End7.5
blue by 9.6
6844
#40
107.86.0
89.1→95.1
Auto13.4
Teleop85.1
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed