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Qual 202018 Utah Regional
Red139
434886.3
3289126.3
968130.5
Blue199
2594121.5
3166114.6
6400120.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29426502004006008001,0001,2001,400139199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#25
130.510.8
104.4→115.3
Auto16.3
Teleop100.3
End11.5
red by 9.0
2594
#22
121.56.9
102.8→109.7
Auto14.7
Teleop95.6
End13.4
Second
3289
#27
126.38.4
106.2→114.5
Auto16.1
Teleop95.5
End12.3
red by 6.3
6400
#17
120.09.1
92.5→101.6
Auto15.7
Teleop86.8
End17.8
Third
4348
#50
86.35.9
81.5→87.4
Auto12.8
Teleop73.4
End2.1
blue by 28.3
3166
#46
114.65.2
100.8→106.0
Auto18.1
Teleop84.2
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed