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Qual 222018 Utah Regional
Red242
257695.4
2484115.4
3245128.7
Blue176
4598108.2
1452111.4
192150.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269276150200250300350400450242176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#20
128.73.5
119.5→122.9
Auto19.7
Teleop96.0
End11.7
blue by 21.6
192
#10
150.46.2
122.9→129.1
Auto18.1
Teleop116.9
End16.5
Second
2484
#29
115.48.5
90.6→99.1
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End2.9
red by 3.9
1452
#34
111.45.2
89.8→95.0
Auto15.2
Teleop86.9
End12.6
Third
2576
#30
95.44.2
99.5→103.7
Auto15.1
Teleop77.1
End2.5
blue by 12.8
4598
#31
108.25.8
99.8→105.5
Auto16.4
Teleop88.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed