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Qual 232018 Utah Regional
Red396
7151112.1
4550148.5
2996152.8
Blue247
3200110.1
662132.1
5071120.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632880100200400500600700396247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#9
152.82.1
112.7→114.8
Auto16.6
Teleop116.4
End22.4
red by 20.7
662
#21
132.19.6
113.6→123.3
Auto17.2
Teleop103.5
End11.7
Second
4550
#5
148.57.9
107.5→115.4
Auto17.5
Teleop108.6
End25.2
red by 27.6
5071
#28
120.99.5
89.3→98.8
Auto15.3
Teleop94.4
End11.4
Third
7151
#38
112.14.9
90.2→95.1
Auto15.5
Teleop83.0
End11.4
red by 1.9
3200
#14
110.11.7
103.5→105.2
Auto17.6
Teleop87.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed