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Qual 252018 Utah Regional
Red309
5493113.4
3374138.3
4585118.4
Blue170
3225111.9
3006113.9
5933131.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286275200250300350400309170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#8
138.39.7
100.9→110.6
Auto16.5
Teleop109.7
End12.9
red by 7.3
5933
#19
131.05.8
107.9→113.7
Auto20.1
Teleop99.9
End13.8
Second
4585
#35
118.410.3
97.8→108.1
Auto16.4
Teleop92.6
End10.1
red by 4.5
3006
#48
113.96.7
101.9→108.5
Auto18.3
Teleop89.3
End2.0
Third
5493
#45
113.48.2
96.2→104.4
Auto14.0
Teleop91.0
End6.7
red by 1.5
3225
#49
111.98.8
101.2→110.0
Auto14.0
Teleop80.9
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed