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Qual 262018 Utah Regional
Red374
5159105.6
115147.8
4944160.6
Blue138
3243107.7
1891127.2
399158.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692840100200400500600700800374138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#11
160.69.6
108.5→118.1
Auto15.5
Teleop124.1
End23.4
red by 1.7
399
#16
158.93.1
122.5→125.6
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
Second
115
#7
147.83.7
110.4→114.1
Auto18.6
Teleop116.2
End14.4
red by 20.6
1891
#24
127.27.3
99.8→107.1
Auto14.8
Teleop91.5
End22.0
Third
5159
#33
105.63.4
89.5→92.9
Auto13.7
Teleop80.7
End14.9
blue by 2.1
3243
#39
107.76.2
97.6→103.7
Auto14.7
Teleop79.2
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed