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Qual 312018 Utah Regional
Red232
1891127.2
3166114.6
3729109.7
Blue251
3006113.9
3230164.9
3200110.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323160100200400500600232251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#24
127.23.7
107.1→110.8
Auto14.8
Teleop91.5
End22.0
blue by 37.7
3230
#3
164.97.9
135.9→143.8
Auto20.6
Teleop119.9
End21.2
Second
3166
#46
114.63.1
106.0→109.1
Auto18.1
Teleop84.2
End13.2
red by 0.7
3006
#48
113.93.0
108.5→111.5
Auto18.3
Teleop89.3
End2.0
Third
3729
#51
109.72.3
103.0→105.2
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End8.8
blue by 0.4
3200
#14
110.10.5
105.2→105.6
Auto17.6
Teleop87.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed