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Qual 322018 Utah Regional
Red444
2996152.8
3239134.9
399158.9
Blue130
3245128.7
645798.2
5974100.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112490100200400500600444130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#16
158.90.8
125.6→126.5
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
red by 30.2
3245
#20
128.71.6
122.9→124.6
Auto19.7
Teleop96.0
End11.7
Second
2996
#9
152.85.0
114.8→119.9
Auto16.6
Teleop116.4
End22.4
red by 51.9
5974
#36
100.95.5
94.2→99.7
Auto13.6
Teleop80.3
End4.9
Third
3239
#13
134.95.5
113.8→119.3
Auto19.5
Teleop107.6
End10.3
red by 36.7
6457
#37
98.25.2
90.4→95.6
Auto14.1
Teleop77.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed