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Qual 362018 Utah Regional
Red287
2996152.8
5974100.9
2594121.5
Blue241
6546113.1
4944160.6
1891127.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2483270100200400500600287241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#9
152.86.3
119.9→126.2
Auto16.6
Teleop116.4
End22.4
blue by 7.7
4944
#11
160.69.2
128.1→137.3
Auto15.5
Teleop124.1
End23.4
Second
2594
#22
121.50.6
114.0→114.6
Auto14.7
Teleop95.6
End13.4
blue by 5.7
1891
#24
127.23.8
110.8→114.6
Auto14.8
Teleop91.5
End22.0
Third
5974
#36
100.92.0
99.7→101.7
Auto13.6
Teleop80.3
End4.9
blue by 12.2
6546
#43
113.12.2
122.2→120.0
Auto17.4
Teleop86.6
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed