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Qual 372018 Utah Regional
Red367
399158.9
6411146.4
3006113.9
Blue203
6717122.3
6400120.0
1410120.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29527502004006008001,000367203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#16
158.93.5
126.5→130.0
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
red by 36.6
6717
#26
122.36.0
103.8→109.8
Auto14.7
Teleop89.3
End19.2
Second
6411
#12
146.45.1
121.9→127.0
Auto15.5
Teleop113.6
End20.5
red by 25.5
1410
#42
120.94.1
115.6→119.7
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End10.5
Third
3006
#48
113.91.2
111.5→112.7
Auto18.3
Teleop89.3
End2.0
blue by 6.1
6400
#17
120.04.5
107.3→111.8
Auto15.7
Teleop86.8
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed